The median age here is 46, older than anywhere else we have written up, and sixty eight per cent own their home. Stock comes up rarely and people stay.
Our patch / Manly 4179
Manly is small, and the harbour is the reason for all of it. Fifty seven house sales in the year to July 2026, and forty two days to sell, which is slow for the bayside and tells you how few of them there are.
The numbers
Every figure on this page is Cotality's, for the twelve months to July 2026, and we have left it as published rather than rounding it into a nicer shape. The median is the middle sale price, not an average, and not a valuation.
Kaló haus found here
5
Median house price
$1,990,000
Houses sold, 12 months
57
Days on market
42
Median unit price
$875,000
Cotality, data to July 2026. Brisbane is the whole council area.
Cotality, data to July 2026. Brisbane is the whole council area.
Median house, a year earlier
$1,600,000 in the twelve months to July 2025
Change in median value
+5.7% over twelve months. This is Cotality's valuation series, which runs on a different base from the median sale price above, so the two will not agree and are not meant to.
Vendor discount
-4.2% from the asking price, typically
Units
$875,000 median, 14 sales, 15 days to sell
In context
Cotality, data to June or July 2026 depending on the suburb. The periods are not identical, so read this as the order rather than the gap.
The rest of the patch
We have bought right across Brisbane, 306 kaló haus in 108 suburbs, and we will happily work anywhere in the city. This patch is simply where we have done it most often, and the whole of it is on Our patch.
Who lives here
68%
Owner occupied
32%
Rented
$875
Median weekly rent, house
$660
Median weekly rent, unit
2.3%
Gross yield, house
3.9%
Gross yield, unit
4,273
Population
46
Median age
$108K
Median household income
Tenure, population, age and household income are ABS Census 2021. Rents are the Cotality median weekly asking rent, read November 2026, with periods running from June to October 2026 depending on the suburb. Gross yield is the annualised rent against the median sale price on this page, before costs, so it is a comparison between suburbs rather than a forecast of your return. A thin rental market moves these figures around, and where a suburb has too few sales to mean anything the line is left out rather than filled in.
Before you buy here
On the bayside there are three separate questions rather than one: the creek catchment, storm tide off Moreton Bay, and overland flow after heavy rain. They do not overlap neatly, and a property can be clear of one and exposed to another. Council maps all of it address by address, so that is what we read rather than working from the contour or the street name.
Brisbane City Council publishes flood risk address by address through the FloodWise Property Report. There is no suburb level answer, and anyone who gives you one is guessing. Council's creek mapping was last updated in September 2024, so older advice may be out of date.
Roads, rail and river
Train
Manly station, 0.4km. Wynnum Central 1.7km
Road
15.7km to the CBD
State school catchments
Primary
Manly State School
Secondary
Wynnum State High School
Catchments follow streets, not suburb boundaries, and Manly falls across more than one. Confirm your exact zone by street address on EdMap before you let a catchment decide anything. We do this on every property.
What’s coming
Plenty gets talked about at an open home as though it were settled. Each item below carries the stage it is actually at, because the difference between a project under construction and one somebody has merely lodged is the difference between a reason to buy and a reason to wait.
Wynnum, Manly and Lota foreshores master plan
A twenty year foreshore plan including a new jetty, a mangrove boardwalk, a kayak launch and an expanded Pandanus Beach. Draft released 25 October 2026, comment closes 22 November 2026.
Two things get quoted at open homes across all of Brisbane and both are worth getting right. Cross River Rail is now expected to carry its first passengers in 2029, not 2026, and its four new stations are Boggo Road, Woolloongabba, Albert Street and Roma Street, so most of the eastern suburbs gain network capacity rather than a station. And the 2032 main stadium is at Victoria Park: the Gabba rebuild was abandoned in March 2025 and the athletes village moved from Northshore Hamilton to Bowen Hills.
Checked 27 October 2026. Development status changes constantly, so we check every one of these again before you make an offer rather than trusting this page.
The median age here is 46, older than anywhere else we have written up, and sixty eight per cent own their home. Stock comes up rarely and people stay.
The market now
The medians above cover the twelve months to July 2026, and Brisbane has turned since. Cotality has the city down 1.5 per cent in September 2026 and 4.7 per cent across the quarter, a sixth consecutive monthly fall, leaving values close to 6 per cent below the peak they reached in May. Annual growth was revised down from 10.8 per cent to 5.9 per cent in a single release.
Here is the clearest measure of how far it has turned. A year ago a house in Brisbane sold in a median 17 days. It now takes 38. The figure for Manly above is a median across the twelve months to July 2026, not today, which is exactly why a twelve month median is the wrong thing to buy off on its own. Total listings are up more than 60 per cent while new listings have fallen, sales are down about 27 per cent on the same quarter last year, and in the week to 24 October only 21 per cent of Brisbane auctions sold under the hammer. A hundred and seventeen passed in. Every one of those is a conversation rather than a contest.
Two other things are shaping who you are bidding against. The cash rate has been at 4.6 per cent since the end of September, and from July 2027 negative gearing on residential property is limited to new builds while the fifty per cent capital gains discount is replaced by indexation plus a minimum tax. Both are law, neither touches the main residence exemption, and your accountant is the right person to advise you on your own position. The effect we see at inspections is fewer investors in the room.
What all of that means for a buyer here: a twelve month median is a rear view mirror, and right now it is flattering. There is more stock, more time, and more room to negotiate than there has been in four years.
Cotality Monthly Housing Chart Pack, October 2026; Domain auction results, week to 24 October 2026, preliminary; Reserve Bank of Australia; Australian Taxation Office. Read on 27 October 2026 and superseded by the November release.
An hour, no charge, and no commitment at the end of it. If we cannot add value to your search in Manly, we will say so on the call.